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Cushman
& Wakefield I 3Q 2008
Economy
The Manhattan office market continued to tighten during the
first half of 2007, extending strengths exhibited during the
second half of 2006. Steady employment growth contributed
to positive absorption of available space and rapidly escalating
asking rents.
The New York City economy expanded at a healthy pace during
the first six months of the year, led by strong gains in office-using
employment. Data available through the end of May show that
the City has added nearly 16,800 jobs in industries that are
key to the commercial office market, with financial services
and professional business services adding 7,400 and 5,500
jobs, respectively. This resulted in increased demand for
office space in a market that was already the tightest it
had been since the first quarter of 2001.
The year began with 26.1 million square feet available throughout
Manhattan. By the end of June, available space had fallen
precipitously to 20.8, a decline of 20.5%. This diminishing
availability of space has been the story of the market; April
2007 was the only month in the past year that did not record
a month-to-month decline of at least 122,000 square feet.
As a result, Manhattan’s overall vacancy rate has tumbled
to a six-year low, closing the mid-year
at 5.3%.
Overview
In this environment, it is no surprise that asking rates have
skyrocketed. Up 36.2% from a year a Source: Moody’s
| Economy.com Manhattan’s overall total average asking
rent closed the first half of 2007 at another record-high:
$59.17 per square foot. Thus far this year, rents have increased
by an average of $1.44 each month since January, breaking
the old record set back during the second and third quarters
of 2000.
The rapid pace of rental rate growth has extended throughout
Manhattan. In every submarket but one, overall rents have
registered double-digit percentage increases from a year ago.
Chelsea, up 4.2%, was the only exception. On a cautionary
note, however, leasing activity throughout Manhattan was slower
during the first two quarters, partially attributable to both
significantly higher rents and lack of available space. With
11.8 leased year-to-date, 2007 activity trails last year’s
total through June by 5.4%, with Midtown trailing by nearly
20.0%. This suggests that tenants are possibly beginning to
search for lower-priced space in response to landlords hiking
up rents throughout market inventory.
Outlook
This year’s leasing has been dominated by Manhattan’s
leading industries. Financial services firms (36.4%) and legal
services firms (11.7%) accounted for nearly one of every two
square feet leased from January through June. In April, Lehman
Brothers Hold
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